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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
730 PM EDT TUE AUG 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 730 PM EDT...2330Z...THE CENTER OF THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI AUG  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.0N  73.0W      34  5  X  X 39   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
33.0N  69.0W       X 24  7  X 31   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X 11 11
38.5N  63.0W       X  X 15  6 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  1 16 17
BERMUDA            X  1  4  X  5   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X 13 13
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X 13 13
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X 12 12
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X 13 13
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X 14 14
ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X 12 12
MONCTON NB         X  X  X  6  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN
 
 
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