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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE AUG 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI AUG  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.0N  73.0W      34  5  X  X 39   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
33.0N  69.0W       X 24  7  X 31   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X 11 11
38.5N  63.0W       X  X 15  6 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  1 16 17
BERMUDA            X  1  4  X  5   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X 13 13
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X 13 13
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X 12 12
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X 13 13
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X 14 14
ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X 12 12
MONCTON NB         X  X  X  6  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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