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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU AUG  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.3N  75.3W      40  X  X  X 40   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8
30.4N  72.8W       6 19  1  X 26   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
32.1N  69.4W       X  2 17  1 20   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
BERMUDA            X  X  3 11 14   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  1  1  X  2   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  5  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  2  1  1  4   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  3  1  5   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  1  2   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  1  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  6  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  5  5
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  3  3
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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