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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU AUG 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SUN AUG 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.0N  99.0W      45  X  X  X 45   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  74  X  X  X 74
26.8N 101.4W      18 12  X  X 30   BROWNSVILLE TX    39  X  X  X 39
                  99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 95W      30  X  X  X 30
GALVESTON TX       1  1  X  X  2   GULF 27N 96W      99  X  X  X 99
FREEPORT TX        5  2  X  X  7   GULF 25N 96W       2  X  X  X  2
PORT O CONNOR TX  72  X  X  X 72
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
C FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
D FROM  1PM SAT TO  1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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