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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU AUG 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT SUN AUG 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.0N  99.0W      41  X  X  X 41   PORT O CONNOR TX  99  X  X  X 99
27.0N 100.5W      27  2  X  X 29   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  68  X  X  X 68
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX    23  1  X  X 24
GALVESTON TX      15  1  X  X 16   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
FREEPORT TX       75  X  X  X 75   GULF 27N 96W      99  X  X  X 99
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
C FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
D FROM  7AM SAT TO  7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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