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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU AUG 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN AUG 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.4N  97.5W      42  X  X  X 42   PORT O CONNOR TX  64  X  X  X 64
27.5N  99.3W      19  8  X  X 27   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  43  X  X  X 43
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX    20  X  X  X 20
MMSO 238N 982W     1  1  X  X  2   GULF 28N 93W       8  X  X  X  8
PORT ARTHUR TX     3  1  X  X  4   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
GALVESTON TX      85  X  X  X 85   GULF 27N 96W      50  X  X  X 50
FREEPORT TX       82  X  X  X 82   GULF 25N 96W       3  X  X  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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