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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED AUG 07 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.2N  96.2W      42  X  X  X 42   PORT O CONNOR TX  39  X  1  X 40
28.2N  97.6W      26  1  1  X 28   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  25  1  1  X 27
28.2N  99.2W      12  9  2  X 23   BROWNSVILLE TX     7  3  1  X 11
NEW IBERIA LA      2  2  1  X  5   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
PORT ARTHUR TX    48  X  X  X 48   GULF 28N 95W      58  X  X  X 58
GALVESTON TX      99  X  X  X 99   GULF 27N 96W      21  X  1  X 22
FREEPORT TX       57  X  X  X 57   GULF 25N 96W       1  X  1  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM THU TO  7AM FRI
C FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
D FROM  7PM FRI TO  7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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