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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED AUG 07 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  95.0W      46  X  X  X 46   PORT O CONNOR TX  24  2  X  X 26
28.5N  96.4W      24  2  1  X 27   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  14  7  1  X 22
28.5N  98.0W       9 12  2  X 23   BROWNSVILLE TX     5  5  2  X 12
MMSO 238N 982W     X  1  1  X  2   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
NEW IBERIA LA      6  2  X  X  8   GULF 28N 95W      39  X  X  X 39
PORT ARTHUR TX    65  X  X  X 65   GULF 27N 96W      18  1  1  X 20
GALVESTON TX      48  X  X  X 48   GULF 25N 96W       2  2  1  X  5
FREEPORT TX       35  X  X  X 35
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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