HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON AUG 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT THU AUG  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.0N  93.1W      50  X  X  X 50   NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99
32.5N  94.7W      26  3  X  X 29   NEW IBERIA LA     42  X  X  X 42
                  99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX    12  3  X  X 15
MOBILE AL          9  X  X  X  9   GALVESTON TX       2  5  X  X  7
GULFPORT MS       99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX        1  2  X  X  3
BURAS LA           1  1  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN