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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON AUG 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT THU AUG  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.5N  92.0W      49  X  X  X 49   GALVESTON TX       7  5  X  X 12
30.8N  93.0W      30  1  X  X 31   FREEPORT TX        3  5  X  X  8
PENSACOLA FL       2  1  X  X  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  2  X  X  2
MOBILE AL         14  1  X  X 15   GULF 29N 87W       1  1  X  X  2
GULFPORT MS       99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 89W       4  2  X  X  6
BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 91W      14  1  X  X 15
NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 93W       7  2  X  X  9
NEW IBERIA LA     52  X  X  X 52   GULF 28N 95W       1  2  X  X  3
PORT ARTHUR TX    17  4  X  X 21
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
C FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
D FROM  1AM WED TO  1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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