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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN AUG 04 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT WED AUG  7 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.6N  91.9W      43  X  X  X 43   PORT ARTHUR TX    17  5  X  X 22
31.1N  93.6W      24  4  X  X 28   GALVESTON TX       6  7  X  X 13
PENSACOLA FL       3  1  X  X  4   FREEPORT TX        2  6  X  X  8
MOBILE AL         33  X  X  X 33   GULF 29N 87W       1  1  X  X  2
GULFPORT MS       99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 89W       7  1  X  X  8
BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 91W      15  1  X  X 16
NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 93W       6  2  X  X  8
NEW IBERIA LA     42  X  X  X 42   GULF 28N 95W       1  2  X  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
C FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
D FROM  7PM TUE TO  7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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