HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 04 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED AUG  7 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.5N  90.0W      33  X  X  X 33   PORT ARTHUR TX     1  8  4  X 13
30.9N  91.7W      18  3  1  X 22   GALVESTON TX       X  4  5  X  9
31.5N  93.5W       3 11  3  X 17   FREEPORT TX        X  2  4  X  6
PANAMA CITY FL     3  X  X  X  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  3  X  3
PENSACOLA FL      28  X  X  X 28   GULF 29N 87W      38  X  X  X 38
MOBILE AL         52  X  X  X 52   GULF 28N 89W      99  X  X  X 99
GULFPORT MS       51  X  X  X 51   GULF 28N 91W       6  5  2  X 13
BURAS LA          36  X  X  X 36   GULF 28N 93W       1  5  3  X  9
NEW ORLEANS LA    27  X  1  X 28   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  4  X  5
NEW IBERIA LA     12  6  1  X 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN