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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
48.1N  54.5W      25  3  X  X 28   BURGEO NFLD       14  3  X  X 17
54.0N  51.0W       X 14  X  X 14   ILE ST PIERRE     25  1  X  X 26
SYDNEY NS          2  X  X  X  2   CAPE RACE NFLD    29  1  X  X 30
PTX BASQUES NFLD   5  1  X  X  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    5  6  X  X 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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