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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
46.0N  55.5W      26  X  1  X 27   EDDY POINT NS      1  4  2  X  7
48.0N  56.0W      15  4  2  X 21   PTX BASQUES NFLD   5  6  4  X 15
56.0N  52.8W       X  1  6  X  7   BURGEO NFLD       12  4  3  X 19
HALIFAX NS         X  1  1  X  2   ILE ST PIERRE     21  1  1  X 23
SABLE ISLAND NS    3  4  2  X  9   CAPE RACE NFLD    19  2  1  X 22
SYDNEY NS          3  6  2  X 11   HIBERNIA OILFLD    1  3  1  X  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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