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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT THU JUL 18 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
43.0N  58.0W      20  1  X  X 21   SABLE ISLAND NS   12  2  1  X 15
45.0N  57.5W      12  3  1  X 16   SYDNEY NS          3  6  2  X 11
46.0N  57.0W       8  5  1  X 14   EDDY POINT NS      2  6  2  X 10
EASTPORT ME        X  X  2  X  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   2  6  2  X 10
ST JOHN NB         X  1  2  X  3   BURGEO NFLD        3  6  3  X 12
MONCTON NB         X  2  2  X  4   ILE ST PIERRE      5  6  2  X 13
YARMOUTH NS        X  1  2  X  3   CAPE RACE NFLD     1  6  2  X  9
HALIFAX NS         X  4  2  X  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  1  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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