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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT THU JUL 18 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
43.0N 58.0W 20 1 X X 21 SABLE ISLAND NS 12 2 1 X 15
45.0N 57.5W 12 3 1 X 16 SYDNEY NS 3 6 2 X 11
46.0N 57.0W 8 5 1 X 14 EDDY POINT NS 2 6 2 X 10
EASTPORT ME X X 2 X 2 PTX BASQUES NFLD 2 6 2 X 10
ST JOHN NB X 1 2 X 3 BURGEO NFLD 3 6 3 X 12
MONCTON NB X 2 2 X 4 ILE ST PIERRE 5 6 2 X 13
YARMOUTH NS X 1 2 X 3 CAPE RACE NFLD 1 6 2 X 9
HALIFAX NS X 4 2 X 6 HIBERNIA OILFLD X 1 1 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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