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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU JUL 18 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
40.1N  60.5W      23  3  X  1 27   MONCTON NB         X  X  3  4  7
42.5N  57.8W       2 13  1  1 17   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  2  4  6
45.1N  57.2W       X  9  4  2 15   HALIFAX NS         X  3  3  4 10
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    3 11  1  2 17
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2   SYDNEY NS          X  6  4  3 13
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  6  4  2 12
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  3  5  4 12
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  3  6  3 12
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4   ILE ST PIERRE      X  4  6  3 13
EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  4  5   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  1  5  4 10
ST JOHN NB         X  X  2  4  6   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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