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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN JUL 14 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED JUL 17 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
38.0N  66.0W      25  5  X  X 30   HALIFAX NS         X  2  2  3  7
40.0N  60.0W       X 14  3  X 17   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  6  6  2 14
43.0N  56.0W       X  3  9  2 14   SYDNEY NS          X  1  4  4  9
BERMUDA            X  1  X  1  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  2  4  3  9
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  3  5  8
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  4  5  9
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  1  5  5 11
ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  3  4   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  5  5 10
MONCTON NB         X  X  1  3  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  5  6
YARMOUTH NS        X  1  1  2  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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