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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN JUL 14 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED JUL 17 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.1N  67.3W      22  5  X  X 27   MONCTON NB         X  X  1  3  4
39.0N  62.0W       X 14  4  1 19   YARMOUTH NS        X  1  1  2  4
42.0N  56.0W       X  1  8  3 12   HALIFAX NS         X  2  2  3  7
BERMUDA            X  1  1  1  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  3  7  2 12
WILMINGTON NC     99  X  X  X 99   SYDNEY NS          X  1  3  4  8
MOREHEAD CITY NC  99  X  X  X 99   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  3  4  8
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  5  7
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  X  1  2   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  3  5  8
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  4  6 10
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  4  5  9
ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  2  3   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  4  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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