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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1502
0300Z WED OCT 23 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 130.7W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 130.7W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 130.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.6N 131.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.5N 132.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 130.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 14.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 15.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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