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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1502
2100Z TUE OCT 22 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 130.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 130.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 130.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.4N 132.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.8N 133.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 12.3N 135.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 130.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 12.7N 136.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 13.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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