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HURRICANE KENNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
1500Z FRI OCT 25 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS
MARIAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA
TO MANZANILLO.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 105.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 105.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.9N 104.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.0N 100.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 105.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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