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HURRICANE KENNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
0300Z THU OCT 24 2002
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
KENNA.  HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKE BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
MEXICAN COAST THURSDAY MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.3W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.3W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 109.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.3N 108.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 107.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 108.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 22.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 26.5N 101.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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