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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1302
1500Z THU SEP 26 2002

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 104.6W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 104.6W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.3N 105.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.0N 106.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 104.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 23.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 24.0N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
 
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