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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1202
1500Z MON SEP 16 2002
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.2N 111.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.2N 113.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.2N 114.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 109.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.2N 116.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
 
 
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