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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1202
0900Z MON SEP 16 2002
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 108.6W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 108.6W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.4N 110.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.4N 115.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 108.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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