HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1202
1500Z SUN SEP 15 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 104.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 104.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.8N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N 108.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 111.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 104.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.2N 113.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 20.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  65SE  65SW  80NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH/KNABB
 
 
NNNN