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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1102
0900Z FRI SEP 06 2002
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN BAJA PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM
CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.1W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.1W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 108.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.3N 110.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.6N 111.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.8N 112.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 109.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 25.2N 113.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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