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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1002
2100Z TUE SEP 03 2002
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 120.5W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 120.5W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 121.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 120.5W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 123.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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