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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1002
0300Z TUE SEP 03 2002
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 117.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 119.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.7N 120.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.0N 122.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 117.8W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
FORECASTER JARVINEN/MOLLEDA
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