HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
0900Z MON SEP 02 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 114.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 280SE 280SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 114.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 114.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 118.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 120.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 114.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 21.6N 122.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.8N 124.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
NNNN