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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
0300Z SUN SEP 01 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 109.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 109.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.7N 112.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 109.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 116.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 119.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/KNABB
 
 
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