ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1002
1500Z SAT AUG 31 2002
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.3W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......175NE 135SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 175SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.3W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.9W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.7N 109.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N 110.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 107.3W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Webmaster