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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
1500Z SAT JUL 27 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 120.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N 125.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 120.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 26.0N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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