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HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
0900Z SAT JUL 27 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.7W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 250SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.7W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.7N 121.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.9N 123.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N 124.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 119.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 126.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 25.0N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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