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HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
0300Z SAT JUL 27 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 118.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 250SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 118.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 118.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.7N 122.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.2N 124.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 118.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 22.1N 126.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 26.0N 128.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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