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HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0602
0300Z SAT JUL 27 2002
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 118.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 250SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 118.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 118.1W
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.7N 122.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.2N 124.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 118.6W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 22.1N 126.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 26.0N 128.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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