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HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
2100Z FRI JUL 26 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 117.7W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 250SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 117.7W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.2N 119.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.3N 121.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 117.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 25.0N 128.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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