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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
0300Z WED JUL 24 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.8W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  75 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 400SE 400SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.8W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.6N 119.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.2N 122.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 117.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.5N 133.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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