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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
1500Z TUE JUL 23 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 400SE 400SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 114.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.2N 119.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 115.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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