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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
2100Z MON JUL 22 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 113.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 350SE 350SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 113.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 112.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 114.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.4N 116.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.2N 119.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 113.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.7N 122.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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