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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
0900Z MON JUL 22 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 150SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 200SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.7N 112.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.4N 116.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 110SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 111.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 18.8N 118.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 110SE 110SW 125NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 19.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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