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TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
1500Z SUN JUL 21 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 108.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.9N 109.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 120SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.4N 111.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 108.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 114.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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