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TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0402
0900Z SAT JUL 13 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 116.2W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 116.2W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 116.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 123.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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