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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0402
0300Z THU JUL 11 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 109.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 109.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 108.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.3N 110.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 109.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 17.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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