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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0402
1500Z WED JUL 10 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 107.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 107.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.5N 109.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.7N 111.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.4N 113.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 107.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 15.0N 115.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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