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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1402
1500Z WED OCT 16 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
SOME OR ALL OF THE WARNING AREA FOR CUBA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE BAHAMAS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...ELEUTHERA...NEW
PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  80.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  80.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.9N  78.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 26.5N  76.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.0N  72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  80.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...ABSORBED INTO A FRONTAL ZONE
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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