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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1402
0900Z WED OCT 16 2002
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE BAHAMAS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...ELEUTHERA...NEW
PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  81.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  81.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  81.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N  79.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.7N  77.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 27.5N  74.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  81.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...ABSORBED INTO FRONTAL ZONE
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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