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HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1302
1500Z THU OCT 03 2002
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
THE COASTAL WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 92.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 20SW 80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 240SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 92.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 92.1W
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.1N 92.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.0N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.0N 85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 92.2W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...ABSORBED
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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