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HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
2100Z WED OCT 02 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  90.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE  85SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 125SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  90.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  89.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.5N  91.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.8N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 32.2N  91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  90.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 36.1N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 45.0N  74.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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