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HURRICANE LILI SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
1800Z WED OCT 02 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  89.4W AT 02/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 125SE  75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  89.4W AT 02/1800Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.0N  90.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.1N  92.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 30.4N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 160SE 110SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  89.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 33.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 40.5N  82.0W...INLAND AND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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