HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
2100Z MON SEP 30 2002
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL 
STORM WATCH FROM COZUMEL TO PROGRESSO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REST OF CUBA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  80.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  80.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  80.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.9N  81.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.3N  86.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  80.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.5N  89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 27.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN